{"id":25839,"date":"2025-11-07T10:29:37","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T09:29:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/?p=25839"},"modified":"2026-06-12T09:43:45","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T07:43:45","slug":"eu-postpones-start-of-ets-ii-to-2028","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/en\/eu-verschiebt-start-des-ets-ii-auf-2028\/","title":{"rendered":"EU verschiebt Start des ETS\u202fII auf 2028 \u2013 Was das f\u00fcr Politik &amp; Wirtschaft bedeutet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On November 5, 2025, the EU environment ministers agreed on a central adjustment of European climate policy: they want to <strong>Begin<\/strong> of the new Emissions Trading System for Buildings and Road Transport (<strong>European Union<\/strong><strong>ETS<\/strong><strong>II<\/strong>) for one year <strong>on<\/strong><strong>2028<\/strong><strong>Move<\/strong>. The system was originally planned for 2027 and is intended to price CO\u2082 emissions in these sectors across Europe through tradable certificates and eventually replace national CO\u2082 taxes. Due to the energy price clause, the EU Commission would have had until July 15, 2026, to delay the introduction of the system anyway. The new proposal to postpone the EU ministers means the <strong>EU Parliament approval<\/strong> but now <strong>very likely<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the delayed introduction, the ministers are responding to persistently high energy prices and to demands from some member states, particularly from Central and Eastern Europe, which are calling for a more gradual transition. At the same time, the Council reaffirmed the overarching goal of reducing European greenhouse gas emissions by 90 percent by 2040 compared to 1990 levels. The decision is part of the planned EU Climate Target Law 2040, which is to be voted on in the European Parliament by the end of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EU ETS II has structural significance<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The EU ETS II is the second expansion phase of the European emissions trading system, which currently covers energy-intensive industries and the power sector. The new market segment is intended to cover transport and the heating of buildings in the future \u2013 areas where national solutions have applied until now. In Germany, this affects national emissions trading according to<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/en\/behg-trading-with-co%e2%82%82-certificates\/\">BEHG<\/a><\/strong>, which will now likely be extended for another year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As of January 1, 2026, in Germany <strong>so far<\/strong> an auction-based CO\u2082 levy is planned as a transitional arrangement. In this system, certificate prices are intended to be within a specified price range <strong>between<\/strong><strong>55<\/strong><strong>and<\/strong><strong>65<\/strong><strong>Euro<\/strong> to move per ton, with a repurchase price of 68 euros if auction volumes are exhausted. Whether the still fixed CO\u2082 certificate price of 55 euros will be extended by one year or the transitional regulation will now apply for two years will have to be decided in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Affected companies will therefore have to calculate their CO\u2082 costs based on auction results in 2026 or 2027, which entails increased price uncertainty. Only with EU ETS II from 2028 onwards will the CO\u2082 certificate price be determined completely freely based on supply and demand on the European market. So far, various studies have calculated CO\u2082 costs of [X] when the system is introduced in 2027 <strong>200 to 350 Euro<\/strong> per ton. Whether this expected price explosion will be weakened by the postponed introduction of the EU ETS II remains to be seen.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Reasons for postponing ETS II<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Several political and economic factors contribute to this decision:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sustainably high energy prices since 2022 are burdening households and smaller businesses in the EU.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Countries like Poland, the Czech Republic, and Hungary are demanding more time to prepare social compensation for lower-income households.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Social Climate Fund, which is intended to create precisely this compensation, will be launched in 2026 and requires additional administrative lead time.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>National authorities must adapt their reporting systems, data standards, and billing mechanisms to the upcoming EU standard.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Die Politik erhofft sich durch die Verschiebung eine geordnetere Implementierung, ohne den langfristigen Pfad zur Dekarbonisierung zu ver\u00e4ndern. Dies zeigt zugleich, dass sie sozio\u00f6konomische Durchf\u00fchrbarkeit zunehmend als integraler Bestandteil europ\u00e4ischer Klimapolitik versteht.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/v4.cubeconcepts.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EU-ETS-II-auf-2028-verschoben-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"EU ETS II postponed to 2028\" class=\"wp-image-25841\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EU-ETS-II-auf-2028-verschoben-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EU-ETS-II-auf-2028-verschoben-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EU-ETS-II-auf-2028-verschoben-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EU-ETS-II-auf-2028-verschoben-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EU-ETS-II-auf-2028-verschoben-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/EU-ETS-II-auf-2028-verschoben.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Impacts on the CO\u2082 Market<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The decision also affects expectations in the carbon market. Analysts now expect the average CO\u2082 price in the established EU ETS I (industry and power sector) to remain stable in the short term, and the delay of ETS II to buffer initial prices somewhat. However, in Germany's national Emissions Trading System (nEHS), experts anticipate a CO\u2082 price at the upper limit (65 euros) until 2028, as market participants are already pricing in the EU-wide scarcity that will be secured from 2028 onwards. New forecasts and analyses in the coming weeks will examine the effect of the postponed start of EU ETS II on CO\u2082 certificate prices more closely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The postponement of ETS II to 2028 raises two additional questions that urgently need to be clarified by policymakers:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>What is happening with the Social Climate Fund, which is actually supposed to provide around 86 billion euros annually from ETS revenues starting from 2026 to relieve low-income households and promote energy efficiency programs?.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Is the timeline for the fusion of ETS I and ETS II, originally planned for 2031, now also in danger?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Delayed Launch of the EU ETS II as a Political Balancing Act<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the postponement of ETS II is not a blatant step backward in European climate policy, it is perhaps a necessary intermediate step. It allows for the stabilization of the technical infrastructure and accompanying social instruments without changing the long-term direction. Provided this is successful and the effects are not merely postponed by one year, it is a positive sign for the economy in Europe. The year 2028 remains anchored in law as a binding starting point \u2013 the EU maintains its course towards climate neutrality, combined with economic realism.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The postponement provides companies with a breather in the CO\u2082 pricing of heating and transport. In Germany, this is likely to extend the transitional phase of the national emissions trading system (nEHS), offering short-term planning security at more moderate prices between 55 and 65 euros.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":25841,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-solar-news","category-regulatorik-esg"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>EU ETS II soll ab 2028 starten | CUBE CONCEPTS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EU verschiebt Start des ETS\u202fII auf 2028 \u2013 Was das f\u00fcr Politik &amp; Wirtschaft bedeutet und welche Fragen m\u00fcssen jetzt beantwortet werden?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/en\/eu-postpones-start-of-ets-ii-to-2028\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EU ETS II soll ab 2028 starten | CUBE CONCEPTS\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"EU verschiebt Start des ETS\u202fII auf 2028 \u2013 Was das f\u00fcr Politik &amp; 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