{"id":24578,"date":"2025-09-05T09:24:46","date_gmt":"2025-09-05T07:24:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/?p=24578"},"modified":"2026-04-28T10:53:39","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T08:53:39","slug":"monitorovaci-zprava-o-energeticke-transformaci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/cz\/monitoringbericht-zur-energiewende\/","title":{"rendered":"Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende: Studien warnen vor Risiken einer Verlangsamung"},"content":{"rendered":"

V nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch dnech bude Monitorovac\u00ed zpr\u00e1va o energetick\u00e9 transformaci<\/strong> o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 Energiewirtschaftn\u00ed institut (EWI) na zak\u00e1zku Spolkov\u00e9ho ministerstva hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed a ochrany klimatu (BMWK). O zpr\u00e1v\u011b se intenzivn\u011b diskutuje ji\u017e p\u0159edem. Kritici se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee anal\u00fdza by mohla slou\u017eit p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm k brzd\u011bn\u00ed rozvoje obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f energie a ji\u017e zjevn\u011b pl\u00e1novan\u00e9mu Stavba plynov\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren<\/strong> ospravedlnit. Paraleln\u011b s prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm procesem nyn\u00ed vy\u0161lo n\u011bkolik studi\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zkoumaj\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u016fsledky zpomalen\u00ed rozvoje fotovoltaiky a v\u011btrn\u00e9 energie. Zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee zpomalen\u00ed by p\u0159ineslo zna\u010dn\u00e1 rizika pro ochranu klimatu, n\u00e1klady na energii a bezpe\u010dnost dod\u00e1vek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u016fsledky zpomalen\u00e9ho rozvoje<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Kr\u00e1tk\u00e1 studie konzulta\u010dn\u00ed firmy zad\u00e1na spole\u010dnost\u00ed Greenpeace a Green Planet Energy Enervis Poradci pro energetiku<\/strong> analyzuje r\u016fzn\u00e9 rozvojov\u00e9 trajektorie pro obdob\u00ed do roku 2035. V\u00fdchoz\u00edm bodem je referen\u010dn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd se orientuje na dosud stanoven\u00e9 c\u00edle. Podle EEG 2023 jsou to: 215 gigawatt\u016f fotovoltaick\u00e9ho v\u00fdkonu a 145 gigawatt\u016f v\u011btrn\u00e9 energie do roku 2030, a siln\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst elektromobil\u016f a tepeln\u00fdch \u010derpadel. K dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto c\u00edle je nezbytn\u00fd ro\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst 22 gigawatt\u016f sol\u00e1rn\u00edho v\u00fdkonu<\/a> pl\u00e1nov\u00e1no. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 porovn\u00e1v\u00e1 Enervis s variantami, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1daj\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b pomalej\u0161\u00ed roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f energie i elektrifikace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00fdsledky ukazuj\u00ed: Zat\u00edmco rozd\u00edly v energetick\u00e9m sektoru se zpo\u010d\u00e1tku je\u0161t\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed v mez\u00edch, emise CO\u2082 v doprav\u011b a vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b rostou, pokud se tam d\u00e9le spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na fosiln\u00ed paliva. Do roku 2035 se nas\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed dodate\u010dn\u00fd<\/strong> Emise zapnuto a\u017e 381 milion\u016f tun<\/strong>. K tomu by p\u0159ibylo dal\u0161\u00edch 62 milion\u016f tun, pokud by spot\u0159eba elekt\u0159iny vzrostla a rozvoj obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f uv\u00edzl na mrtv\u00e9m bod\u011b. Tuto hodnotu experti kalkuluj\u00ed p\u0159i dodate\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fdrob\u011b elekt\u0159iny 10 TWh<\/strong> z plynov\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren. Naopak a bez dal\u0161\u00edho spalov\u00e1n\u00ed plynu a uhl\u00ed<\/strong> by se dalo \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee dokonce kolem Zabr\u00e1nit emisi 76 milion\u016f tun CO\u2082<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Krom\u011b dopad\u016f na klima studie poukazuje tak\u00e9 na ekonomick\u00e1 rizika spojen\u00e1 se zpomalen\u00edm rozvoje. Jen v d\u016fsledku evropsk\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s emisemi by ji\u017e v roce 2030 mohly vzniknout dodate\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady ve v\u00fd\u0161i a\u017e 8,4 miliardy eur ro\u010dn\u011b. Spole\u010densk\u00e9 n\u00e1klady spojen\u00e9 s klimatick\u00fdmi zm\u011bnami, vypo\u010d\u00edtan\u00e9 na z\u00e1klad\u011b \u00fadaj\u016f Spolkov\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu pro \u017eivotn\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed, dosahuj\u00ed do roku 2035 na a\u017e 128 miliard eur<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e1kladov\u00e1 efektivita jako politick\u00e9 m\u011b\u0159\u00edtko v monitorovac\u00ed zpr\u00e1v\u011b o energetick\u00e9 transformaci<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

N\u011bmeck\u00e9 ministerstvo pro hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed a ochranu klimatu zadalo monitorovac\u00ed zpr\u00e1vu o energetick\u00e9 transformaci se siln\u00fdm zam\u011b\u0159en\u00edm na n\u00e1kladovou efektivitu. Ekologick\u00e9 organizace jako Germanwatch kritizuj\u00ed, \u017ee tento pohled nedostate\u010dn\u011b zohled\u0148uje dlouhodob\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 dopady a celkov\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady. A\u010dkoli zpomalen\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eit investice, na opl\u00e1tku by Sankce<\/strong> do EU, rostouc\u00ed ceny emisn\u00edch povolenek<\/strong> a vznik\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1vislost na dovozu fosiln\u00edch paliv.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Studie spole\u010dnosti Enervis tento rozpor mezi c\u00edli jasn\u011b ukazuje: sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e s omezen\u00fdm rozvojem vedou nejen k vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm emis\u00edm, ale tak\u00e9 k dodate\u010dn\u00fdm n\u00e1klad\u016fm pro st\u00e1t, podniky a spot\u0159ebitele. Naopak ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed rozvoj obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f energie v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu sni\u017euje z\u00e1vislost na dovozech a vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed prostor pro pokles cen elekt\u0159iny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anal\u00fdza Agora Energiewende<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

K podobn\u00e9mu z\u00e1v\u011bru dosp\u011bla ve sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed studii i think tank Agora Energiewende. Porovn\u00e1v\u00e1 dva sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e v\u00fdvoje do roku 2030 a zd\u016fraz\u0148uje \u010dty\u0159i kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 faktory: urychlenou elektrifikaci, c\u00edlen\u00e9 roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed flexibiln\u00edch \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, efektivn\u00ed pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00edt\u00ed a ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed rozvoj obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f energie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Podle v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f organizace Agora by v ambici\u00f3zn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i mohlo do roku 2030 nav\u00edc 36 milion\u016f tun CO\u2082<\/strong> u\u0161et\u0159it \u2013 ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em s omezen\u00fdm rozvojem. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 by se tak poda\u0159ilo zabr\u00e1nit dovozu fosiln\u00edch paliv v hodnot\u011b a\u017e sedmi miliard eur ro\u010dn\u011b. Anal\u00fdza nav\u00edc p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee rozvoj v\u011btrn\u00e9 a sol\u00e1rn\u00ed energie sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ceny elekt\u0159iny do roku 2030 o sn\u00ed\u017eit a\u017e o 23 procent<\/strong> by mohl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S t\u00edm je spojena zpr\u00e1va, \u017ee slab\u0161\u00ed popt\u00e1vka po elekt\u0159in\u011b by nem\u011bla slou\u017eit jako ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed pro pomalej\u0161\u00ed rozvoj obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f energie. Naopak, je nutn\u00e9 prosazovat elektrifikaci v sektorech dopravy, budov a pr\u016fmyslu a v\u010das p\u0159ipravit s\u00edt\u011b na rostouc\u00ed pot\u0159ebu elekt\u0159iny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

P\u0159ehled k monitorovac\u00ed zpr\u00e1v\u011b o energetick\u00e9 transformaci<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed v oblasti energetick\u00e9 politiky budou m\u00edt z\u00e1sadn\u00ed vliv na to, zda N\u011bmecko dos\u00e1hne sv\u00fdch klimatick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f a z\u00e1rove\u0148 pos\u00edl\u00ed svou konkurenceschopnost. Je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 sledovat, jak\u00e9 z\u00e1v\u011bry vyvod\u00ed BMWK ze zpr\u00e1vy EWI o monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed energetick\u00e9 transformace. Studie, kter\u00e9 jsou ji\u017e k dispozici, ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee zpomalen\u00ed rozvoje obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f energie by m\u011blo zna\u010dn\u00e9 klimaticko-politick\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 nev\u00fdhody. Ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed kurz v oblasti v\u011btrn\u00e9 a sol\u00e1rn\u00ed energie naopak nab\u00edz\u00ed \u0161anci sn\u00ed\u017eit emise, vyhnout se n\u00e1klad\u016fm na obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s emisemi a sn\u00ed\u017eit z\u00e1vislost na dovozu fosiln\u00edch paliv.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V t\u00e9to souvislosti se jev\u00ed jako z\u00e1sadn\u00ed, aby se monitorovac\u00ed zpr\u00e1va o energetick\u00e9 transformaci neinterpretovala pouze z hlediska n\u00e1klad\u016f, ale aby se braly v \u00favahu tak\u00e9 dlouhodob\u00e1 rizika a p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
Zp\u011bt na p\u0159ehled<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed by mohlo do roku 2030 sn\u00ed\u017eit ceny elekt\u0159iny o 23 %. Odborn\u00edci kritizuj\u00ed, \u017ee se monitorovac\u00ed zpr\u00e1va zam\u011b\u0159uje v\u00fdhradn\u011b na n\u00e1kladovou efektivitu, \u010d\u00edm\u017e opom\u00edj\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody elektrifikace a nepr\u00e1vem ospravedl\u0148uje v\u00fdstavbu nov\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren na fosiln\u00ed paliva.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":24585,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24578","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-solar-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMonitoringbericht zur Energiewende | CUBE CONCEPTS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Der Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende des BMWK wird erwartet. Andere Studien warnen vor einer Verlangsamung des Ausbaues.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/cz\/monitorovaci-zprava-o-energeticke-transformaci\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende | CUBE CONCEPTS\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Der Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende des BMWK wird erwartet. Andere Studien warnen vor einer Verlangsamung des Ausbaues.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/cz\/monitorovaci-zprava-o-energeticke-transformaci\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CUBE CONCEPTS\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-09-05T07:24:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-28T08:53:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cubeconcepts.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Monitoringbericht-zur-Energiewende.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2048\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1365\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Guido Steenmans\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Napsal(a)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Guido Steenmans\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Odhadovan\u00e1 doba \u010dten\u00ed\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minut\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/cz\\\/monitoringbericht-zur-energiewende\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/cz\\\/monitoringbericht-zur-energiewende\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Guido Steenmans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2c762e4ca1ea252f42f23ab33248856e\"},\"headline\":\"Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende: Studien warnen vor Risiken einer Verlangsamung\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-05T07:24:46+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-28T08:53:39+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/cz\\\/monitoringbericht-zur-energiewende\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":761,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/fr\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/cz\\\/monitoringbericht-zur-energiewende\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/09\\\/Monitoringbericht-zur-Energiewende.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Energiemarkt News\"],\"inLanguage\":\"cs\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/cz\\\/monitoringbericht-zur-energiewende\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/cz\\\/monitoringbericht-zur-energiewende\\\/\",\"name\":\"Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende | CUBE CONCEPTS\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/fr\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/cz\\\/monitoringbericht-zur-energiewende\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/cz\\\/monitoringbericht-zur-energiewende\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cubeconcepts.de\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/09\\\/Monitoringbericht-zur-Energiewende.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-05T07:24:46+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-28T08:53:39+00:00\",\"description\":\"Der Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende des BMWK wird erwartet. 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